As Tuesday dawns, the government is closed, but the law is intact. A small band of Republicans in both the House and Senate decided in late summer to take up the cause, and with the help of conservative activists and powerful groups like the Heritage Foundation, they gradually convinced a substantial portion of the Republican caucus to go along with them, against the wishes of party leaders. In the early evening, House Republicans sent a bill to the Senate that delayed Obamacare's individual mandate for a year - a resolution they knew the Senate would never accept. The most likely resolution still seems to be for the House to pass a clean CR. The question is, how long and how much pain will it take before House Republicans are willing to do that? Both sides could also end up agreeing on a CR that includes small tweaks to Obamacare - such as repealing the medical-device tax - though Democrats seemed as unified as ever against even that Monday night.
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